{"id":42460,"date":"2020-04-07T13:10:12","date_gmt":"2020-04-07T20:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/?p=42460"},"modified":"2020-04-07T15:20:58","modified_gmt":"2020-04-07T22:20:58","slug":"deaths-attributed-to-pneumonia-down-sharply","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/2020\/04\/07\/deaths-attributed-to-pneumonia-down-sharply\/","title":{"rendered":"Deaths attributed to pneumonia down sharply"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Silver here.\u00a0 First Amendment badass Marc Randazza <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcorandazza\/status\/1247251118192840707\">posted a tweet with a curious graph<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 He wrote:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"css-901oao css-16my406 r-1qd0xha r-ad9z0x r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0\">1) I dont know if this is fake <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"css-901oao css-16my406 r-1qd0xha r-ad9z0x r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0\">2) If it is not fake, what does this tell us?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s not a fake.\u00a0 I went to the CDC&#8217;s website and downloaded the same data, plotted it myself.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-42465\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/US-Pneumomia-Deaths-Weekly-2-450x326.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"721\" height=\"522\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/US-Pneumomia-Deaths-Weekly-2-450x326.jpeg 450w, https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/US-Pneumomia-Deaths-Weekly-2-768x557.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/US-Pneumomia-Deaths-Weekly-2-800x580.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/US-Pneumomia-Deaths-Weekly-2.jpeg 910w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>(Edited to add: I revised the chart to try to make it more legible.)<\/p>\n<p>The traces for deaths attributed to pneumonia for the seven flu seasons (the CDC defines flu season as starting in week 40 each year) are straight from the CDC data.\u00a0 I added the heavier red trace &#8220;Average 2013-2019&#8221; and the lower trace &#8220;2020 Difference from average.&#8221;\u00a0 Any mistakes are mine.<\/p>\n<p>Early in this season the pneumonia deaths were slightly less than the average from the previous years, but suddenly there was a significant drop.\u00a0 The last available week&#8217;s data shows a difference of about 1500 deaths per week compared to the average.<\/p>\n<p>What does it mean?\u00a0 Thanks to some sleuthing by members of the forum, we know that <a href=\"http:\/\/ICD-10-CM Official Coding and Reporting Guidelines April 1, 2020 through September 30, 2020\">revised CDC guidelines<\/a> allow assigning &#8220;Covid-19&#8221; as cause of death without a confirming test.<\/p>\n<p>A reasonable explanation is that some deaths formerly attributed to pneumonia are now being classified as caused by covid-19.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Silver here.\u00a0 First Amendment badass Marc Randazza posted a tweet with a curious graph.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 He wrote: 1) I dont know if this is fake 2) If it is not fake, what does this tell us? It&#8217;s not a fake.\u00a0 I went to the CDC&#8217;s website and downloaded the same data, plotted it myself. &nbsp; (Edited to add: I revised the chart to try to make it more legible.) The traces for deaths attributed to pneumonia for the seven flu seasons (the CDC defines flu season as starting in week 40 each year) are straight from the CDC data.\u00a0 I added&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/2020\/04\/07\/deaths-attributed-to-pneumonia-down-sharply\/\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Deaths attributed to pneumonia down sharply<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-miscellaneous","ratio-natural","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42460"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42460\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42467,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42460\/revisions\/42467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.clairewolfe.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}